AXP Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

AXP Amex $314.31 +0.63% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — AXP

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Amex

In Between Walls?

YES

$300

2ND

$360

DOM

$314.31

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

2.71× Very High (>2×)

Current OI 43,797

30d Avg OI 16,150

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.32

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$360

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-45.69

-14.54%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.997

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — AXP

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $360 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $300 – $360 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 19.1% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$360 Resistance	18,337	28	18,365	0.00	100%
#4	$340 Resistance	1,874	326	2,200	0.17	12%
#3	$330 Resistance	1,816	514	2,330	0.28	13%
#5	$322 Resistance	2,062	125	2,187	0.06	12%
▶ $314.31
#2	$300 Support	770	2,295	3,065	2.98	17%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Very High (>2×)

Low (<0.7×)

65.5%

194 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

81.2%

80 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

69.7%

33 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

100.0%

19 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

82.7%

76 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	194	65.5%	53.6%	42.8%	30.1%	20.3%
Normal (0.7–1×)	80	81.2%	72.5%	48.8%	35.1%	25.3%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	33	69.7%	54.5%	38.7%	36.7%	35.7%
High (1.5–2×)	19	100.0%	89.5%	84.2%	52.6%	26.3%
Very High (>2×)	76	82.7%	77.0%	53.4%	58.9%	41.1%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — AXP

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $330

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $325–$330 for 5 days

What Happened

$314.31

-0.52%

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $330

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $325–$330 for 5 days

What Happened

$312.32

-2.16%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $305

Ceiling $345

Range 12.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$319.21

-0.15%

Closed 8.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $322

Ceiling $340

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $322 by end of day

What Happened

$319.68

-1.04%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $322

Ceiling $340

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $322–$340 for 5 days

What Happened

$321.90

+1.98%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $322

Ceiling $340

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $322–$340 for 5 days

What Happened

$315.95

+0.02%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $318

Ceiling $322

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $318–$322 for 5 days

What Happened

$319.21

+0.12%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $328

Ceiling $342

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $328–$342 for 5 days

What Happened

$319.68

+1.78%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $328

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $320 by end of day

What Happened

$314.08

-1.40%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $328

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $320–$328 for 5 days

What Happened

$315.65

-5.18%

Broke down — max move 5.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $328

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $320–$328 for 5 days

What Happened

$315.90

-4.21%

Broke up — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $328

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $320–$328 for 5 days

What Happened

$318.84

-3.34%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $328

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $320–$328 for 5 days

What Happened

$314.08

-5.31%

2026-04-16

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $340

Range 18.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$331.69

+1.82%

Closed 15.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-04-15

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $340

Range 18.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$325.76

-1.00%

Closed 13.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%

2026-04-14

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $340

Range 18.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$329.06

+0.64%

Closed 15.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%

2026-04-13

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $340

Range 18.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $340 by end of day

What Happened

$326.96

+0.97%

Closed 4.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $340

Range 19.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $340 by end of day

What Happened

$323.82

+3.29%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.3%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $302

Ceiling $310

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $302–$310 for 5 days

What Happened

$325.76

+2.51%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $302

Ceiling $310

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $302–$310 for 5 days

What Happened

$329.06

+4.02%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 65%

Magnet

Floor $302

Ceiling $310

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day

What Happened

$316.34

+3.03%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.0%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $302

Ceiling $310

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day

What Happened

$307.03

+0.43%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $295

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$295 for 5 days

What Happened

$313.50

+4.44%

Broke up — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $295

Range 5.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$295 for 5 days

What Happened

$317.77

+5.41%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $295

Range 5.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$295 for 5 days

What Happened

$316.34

+4.58%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $295

Range 5.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$295 for 5 days

What Happened

$307.03

+3.21%

2026-03-27

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $315

Range 12.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$297.49

+1.79%

Closed 6.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $308

Ceiling $315

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $308–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$300.18

+0.26%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $308

Ceiling $315

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $308–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$301.45

+0.40%

Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $308

Ceiling $315

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $308–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$302.48

+0.16%

Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $308

Ceiling $315

Range 2.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $308–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$297.49

-1.46%

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $308

Ceiling $315

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $308–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$292.27

-1.09%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $300

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$295.50

+0.19%

Closed 8.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $300

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$294.93

+0.18%

Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $300

Range 10.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$294.39

-1.96%

Closed 8.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $300

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$300.27

+0.69%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $300

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$298.20

-0.59%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $310

Ceiling $315

Range 1.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $310–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$294.93

-2.31%

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $310

Ceiling $315

Range 1.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $310–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$294.39

-3.79%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $310

Ceiling $315

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $310–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$300.27

-0.95%

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $310

Ceiling $330

Range 6.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $310–$330 for 5 days

What Happened

$298.20

-2.35%

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $330

Range 5.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $315–$330 for 5 days

What Happened

$299.96

-0.35%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $320

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$320 for 5 days

What Happened

$301.89

-1.73%

Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $320

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$320 for 5 days

What Happened

$305.99

-1.68%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $320

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$320 for 5 days

What Happened

$303.15

-1.52%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $320

Range 6.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$320 for 5 days

What Happened

$305.38

-0.67%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $335

Range 4.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $320–$335 for 5 days

What Happened

$301.00

-2.56%

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $348

Ceiling $355

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $348–$355 for 5 days

What Happened

$307.21

-8.38%

Broke down — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $348

Ceiling $355

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $348–$355 for 5 days

What Happened

$311.21

-4.85%

Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $348

Ceiling $355

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $348–$355 for 5 days

What Happened

$307.82

-3.95%

Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)