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GLD $432.93 +0.52% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — GLD

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Gold ETF

In Between Walls?
NO
$495
2ND
$500
DOM
$432.93

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
2.20× Very High (>2×)
Current OI 628,762
30d Avg OI 285,594

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.53
CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall
$500
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-67.07
-15.49%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+1.000
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — GLD

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $500 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $495 – $500 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#1 $500 Resistance 64,031 0 64,031 0.00
100%
#2 $495 Resistance 51,304 0 51,304 0.00
80%
#3 $475 Resistance 46,239 20 46,259 0.00
72%
▶ $432.93
#4 $425 Support 15,707 18,437 34,144 1.17
53%
#5 $420 Support 18,958 10,940 29,898 0.58
47%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — GLD

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $425
Ceiling $430
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $425–$430 for 5 days
What Happened
$432.93
+3.50%
Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $425
Ceiling $430
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $425–$430 for 5 days
What Happened
$434.65
+4.81%
Broke up — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $370
Ceiling $430
Range 14.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $430 by end of day
What Happened
$414.71
-2.00%
Closed 3.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $431
Ceiling $443
Range 2.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $431–$443 for 5 days
What Happened
$431.68
+1.89%
Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-29
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $441
Ceiling $443
Range 0.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $441–$443 for 5 days
What Happened
$430.96
+3.25%
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $405
Ceiling $410
Range 1.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $405–$410 for 5 days
What Happened
$418.27
-0.86%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $405
Ceiling $410
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $405–$410 for 5 days
What Happened
$414.71
-3.53%
Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $405
Ceiling $410
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $405–$410 for 5 days
What Happened
$423.18
-2.32%
Broke down — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-23
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $410
Ceiling $460
Range 11.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $410 by end of day
What Happened
$433.25
+0.51%
Closed 5.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%
2026-04-22
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $410
Ceiling $460
Range 11.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $460 by end of day
What Happened
$431.04
-0.97%
Closed 6.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%
2026-04-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $440
Ceiling $460
Range 4.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $440–$460 for 5 days
What Happened
$421.91
-1.78%
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $440
Ceiling $460
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $440–$460 for 5 days
What Happened
$429.89
-2.76%
Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $440
Ceiling $460
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $440–$460 for 5 days
What Happened
$433.25
-2.84%
Broke down — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $450
Range 6.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $420–$450 for 5 days
What Happened
$431.04
-2.05%
Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $450
Range 6.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $420–$450 for 5 days
What Happened
$435.26
-1.18%
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $520
Range 22.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day
What Happened
$440.46
-1.04%
Closed 4.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $520
Range 23.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day
What Happened
$445.09
+2.23%
Closed 5.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $520
Range 22.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day
What Happened
$435.36
-0.40%
Closed 3.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-04-09
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 11.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day
What Happened
$437.13
-0.18%
Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 11.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day
What Happened
$435.36
+1.80%
Closed 93.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -100.0%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $440
Ceiling $443
Range 0.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $440–$443 for 5 days
What Happened
$437.13
+1.80%
Broke down — max move 100.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $410
Ceiling $440
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $440 by end of day
What Happened
$429.41
-1.92%
Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $410
Ceiling $415
Range 1.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $410–$415 for 5 days
What Happened
Data pending
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $390
Ceiling $430
Range 9.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $390 by end of day
What Happened
$430.29
+3.79%
Closed 9.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.8%
2026-03-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $410
Ceiling $430
Range 4.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $410–$430 for 5 days
What Happened
$427.65
+3.12%
Broke down — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength 90%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $430
Range 7.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day
What Happened
$414.70
+3.51%
Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.5%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $495
Range 22.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $495 by end of day
What Happened
$400.64
-3.76%
Closed 22.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.8%
2026-03-24
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 12.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day
What Happened
$416.29
+3.01%
Closed 4.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.0%
2026-03-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $445
Ceiling $450
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $445–$450 for 5 days
What Happened
$414.58
+2.61%
Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $440
Ceiling $495
Range 13.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $495 by end of day
What Happened
$404.04
-2.26%
Closed 22.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.3%
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 11.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$413.38
-3.06%
Closed 8.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.1%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 11.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$426.41
-4.12%
Closed 5.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.1%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $450
Range 15.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$444.74
-3.16%
Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.2%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $450
Range 15.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$459.27
-0.25%
Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $450
Range 10.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$460.43
-0.09%
Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%
2026-03-12
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $505
Range 4.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$505 for 5 days
What Happened
$426.41
-8.67%
2026-03-11
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $505
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $485 by end of day
What Happened
$466.88
-1.97%
Closed 3.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $505
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $485 by end of day
What Happened
$476.24
-0.34%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $505
Range 4.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$505 for 5 days
What Happened
$460.43
-2.56%
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $505
Range 4.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$505 for 5 days
What Happened
$460.84
-2.68%
2026-03-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $510
Range 5.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$510 for 5 days
What Happened
$466.88
+0.16%
Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $510
Range 5.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$510 for 5 days
What Happened
$476.24
+0.94%
2026-03-03
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $510
Range 5.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $485–$510 for 5 days
What Happened
$477.86
+2.08%
2026-03-02
📌 PIN
Strength 45%
Magnet
Floor $485
Ceiling $495
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $485 by end of day
What Happened
$468.14
-4.46%
Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.5%
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $480
Ceiling $495
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $480 by end of day
What Happened
$490.00
+1.29%
Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-02-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $475
Ceiling $490
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $475–$490 for 5 days
What Happened
$466.13
-2.38%
Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $475
Ceiling $490
Range 3.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $475–$490 for 5 days
What Happened
$471.80
-0.34%
Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $475
Ceiling $490
Range 3.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $475–$490 for 5 days
What Happened
$468.14
-1.36%
2026-02-23
📌 PIN
Strength 45%
Magnet
Floor $475
Ceiling $490
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $490 by end of day
What Happened
$474.61
-1.39%
Closed 3.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%
2026-02-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $420
Ceiling $425
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $420–$425 for 5 days
What Happened
$483.75
+3.23%
Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)