HD Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

HD Home Depot $310.46 -0.88% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — HD

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Home Depot

In Between Walls?

$320

2ND

$370

DOM

$310.46

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

2.17× Very High (>2×)

Current OI 39,293

30d Avg OI 18,106

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

1.07

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$370

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-59.54

-19.18%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+1.000

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — HD

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $370 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $320 – $370 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 16.1% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$370 Resistance	4,377	0	4,377	0.00	100%
#3	$330 Resistance	2,675	711	3,386	0.27	77%
#5	$325 Resistance	561	1,683	2,244	3.00	51%
#2	$320 Resistance	578	3,660	4,238	6.33	97%
#4	$315 Resistance	142	2,737	2,879	19.27	66%
▶ $310.46

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Very High (>2×)

Low (<0.7×)

82.5%

223 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

66.0%

47 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

76.9%

26 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

76.7%

30 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

88.0%

76 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	223	82.5%	75.3%	51.6%	39.3%	33.0%
Normal (0.7–1×)	47	66.0%	61.7%	38.3%	30.4%	22.2%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	26	76.9%	76.9%	50.0%	54.2%	29.2%
High (1.5–2×)	30	76.7%	80.0%	73.3%	60.0%	33.3%
Very High (>2×)	76	88.0%	83.8%	76.7%	63.0%	49.3%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — HD

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $345

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$323.05

+2.42%

Closed 7.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.4%

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $345

Range 9.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$315.42

+0.96%

Closed 9.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $345

Range 9.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$312.42

-3.54%

Closed 10.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.5%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $335

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $335 by end of day

What Happened

$323.88

-1.50%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $350

Range 1.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$323.05

+0.07%

Broke up — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $350

Range 1.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$315.42

-4.15%

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $350

Range 1.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$312.42

-5.98%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $352

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$352 for 5 days

What Happened

$323.88

-3.58%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$328.80

-3.34%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$322.81

-4.92%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $360

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$360 for 5 days

What Happened

$329.06

-4.32%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $360

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$360 for 5 days

What Happened

$332.30

-5.32%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $330

Ceiling $350

Range 5.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day

What Happened

$350.99

+0.46%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $375

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$375 for 5 days

What Happened

$340.16

+0.89%

Broke up — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $375

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$375 for 5 days

What Happened

$339.50

+0.17%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $375

Range 7.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$375 for 5 days

What Happened

$343.92

+0.35%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $375

Range 7.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$375 for 5 days

What Happened

$350.99

+2.88%

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $375

Range 7.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$375 for 5 days

What Happened

$349.40

+3.58%

2026-04-09

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $355

Range 16.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $355 by end of day

What Happened

$337.34

-0.66%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $330

Range 8.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$339.58

+1.02%

Closed 11.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $330

Range 9.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$336.16

+5.46%

Closed 11.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.5%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $350

Range 15.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$318.77

-2.41%

Closed 5.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $348

Range 10.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $348 by end of day

What Happened

$326.65

+1.56%

Closed 6.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $348

Range 9.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $348 by end of day

What Happened

$321.63

-2.41%

Closed 7.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-03-31

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $318

Ceiling $348

Range 9.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $348 by end of day

What Happened

$329.56

+0.20%

Closed 5.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $318

Ceiling $348

Range 9.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $348 by end of day

What Happened

$328.89

+1.67%

Closed 5.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%

2026-03-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $318

Ceiling $348

Range 9.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $348 by end of day

What Happened

$323.50

+0.58%

Closed 7.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $350

Range 3.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$321.63

-2.07%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $342

Ceiling $350

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $342–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$329.56

-0.89%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $342

Ceiling $350

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $342–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$328.89

-0.61%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $350

Range 7.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $325–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$323.50

-2.24%

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $350

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $325–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$321.65

+0.28%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $365

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$328.43

+0.07%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $365

Range 7.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$332.51

+0.48%

Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $365

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$330.91

-3.08%

Broke down — max move 6.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $365

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$330.90

-3.41%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $365

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$320.75

-5.39%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $362

Ceiling $388

Range 7.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $362–$388 for 5 days

What Happened

$328.21

-3.16%

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $388

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$388 for 5 days

What Happened

$330.93

-5.67%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $365

Ceiling $388

Range 6.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $365–$388 for 5 days

What Happened

$341.43

-4.40%

Broke down — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $388

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$388 for 5 days

What Happened

$342.58

-3.11%

Broke up — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $362

Ceiling $388

Range 7.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $362–$388 for 5 days

What Happened

$339.03

-5.28%

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $395

Range 9.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $395 by end of day

What Happened

$357.92

-1.04%

Closed 10.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $395

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$395 for 5 days

What Happened

$350.84

-4.95%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $395

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$395 for 5 days

What Happened

$357.15

-2.66%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $410

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$353.56

-4.65%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $410

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$357.92

-5.99%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $398

Range 14.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$380.72

+1.50%

Closed 9.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%

2026-02-25

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $398

Range 14.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $345 by end of day

What Happened

$375.09

-0.13%

Closed 8.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $370

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$366.92

-4.57%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)