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META $603.00 +1.45% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — META

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Meta

In Between Walls?
YES
$600
DOM
$680
2ND
$603.00

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength
1.46× Elevated (1–1.5×)
Current OI 253,794
30d Avg OI 174,205

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio
0.85
NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall
$600
▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$+3.00
+0.50%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew
-0.016
BALANCED

Balanced call/put OI at the dominant wall — no dominant dealer incentive in either direction.

Today's Top Setup — META

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

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See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
Most Likely
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength 80%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $600 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $600 – $680 through +5d.
No cage setup today — walls are 13.3% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#3 $700 Resistance 12,415 222 12,637 0.02
39%
#2 $680 Resistance 11,930 1,336 13,266 0.11
41%
#4 $650 Resistance 8,391 4,114 12,505 0.49
38%
#5 $640 Resistance 7,914 1,729 9,643 0.22
29%
▶ $603.00
#1 $600 Support 16,115 16,626 32,741 1.03
100%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — META

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $610
Ceiling $620
Range 1.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $610 by end of day
What Happened
$612.88
+1.31%
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $620
Ceiling $660
Range 6.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $620–$660 for 5 days
What Happened
$598.86
-1.89%
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $620
Ceiling $700
Range 13.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $620 by end of day
What Happened
$610.41
+0.27%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $710
Range 18.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $710 by end of day
What Happened
$608.75
-0.52%
Closed 16.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%
2026-04-29
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $700
Ceiling $710
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $700–$710 for 5 days
What Happened
$612.88
-8.41%
Broke down — max move 9.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $700
Ceiling $710
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $700–$710 for 5 days
What Happened
$604.96
-9.89%
Broke down — max move 9.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $700
Ceiling $710
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $700–$710 for 5 days
What Happened
$610.41
-10.05%
Broke down — max move 9.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $700
Ceiling $710
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $700–$710 for 5 days
What Happened
$608.75
-9.82%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $690
Ceiling $700
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $690–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$611.91
-7.17%
Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $675
Ceiling $700
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $675–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$669.12
-0.83%
Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $680
Ceiling $700
Range 3.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $680–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$671.34
+0.37%
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $675
Ceiling $680
Range 0.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $675 by end of day
What Happened
$668.84
-0.31%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-04-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $680
Range 4.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $650–$680 for 5 days
What Happened
$675.03
-1.96%
Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $640
Range 5.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $600–$640 for 5 days
What Happened
$659.15
-2.62%
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $620
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $600–$620 for 5 days
What Happened
$674.72
+0.47%
Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $630
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $600–$630 for 5 days
What Happened
$668.84
+0.96%
Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $700
Range 15.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $600 by end of day
What Happened
$662.49
+4.41%
Closed 9.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.4%
2026-04-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $620
Range 3.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $600–$620 for 5 days
What Happened
$688.55
+9.32%
Broke up — max move 6.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-09
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $660
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $660 by end of day
What Happened
$629.86
+0.23%
Closed 4.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%
2026-04-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $610
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $600–$610 for 5 days
What Happened
$634.53
+10.73%
Broke down — max move 100.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-02
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $520
Ceiling $610
Range 15.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $610 by end of day
What Happened
$573.02
-0.25%
Closed 6.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $540
Ceiling $580
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $580 by end of day
What Happened
$574.46
-0.82%
Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%
2026-03-31
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $550
Ceiling $580
Range 5.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $580 by end of day
What Happened
$579.23
+1.24%
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $480
Ceiling $600
Range 22.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $480 by end of day
What Happened
$572.13
+6.67%
Closed 17.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +6.7%
2026-03-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $580
Ceiling $600
Range 3.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $580–$600 for 5 days
What Happened
$573.02
+9.00%
Broke up — max move 10.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $610
Ceiling $630
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $610–$630 for 5 days
What Happened
$574.46
+4.92%
Broke down — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $610
Ceiling $635
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $610–$635 for 5 days
What Happened
$579.23
-2.63%
Broke down — max move 11.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $610
Ceiling $650
Range 6.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $610–$650 for 5 days
What Happened
$572.13
-3.51%
Broke up — max move 11.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $690
Range 14.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $690 by end of day
What Happened
$592.92
-1.84%
Closed 16.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $640
Ceiling $690
Range 8.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $690 by end of day
What Happened
$604.06
+1.75%
Closed 14.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $700
Range 8.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$593.66
-2.15%
Closed 17.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.1%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $700
Range 8.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$606.70
-1.46%
Closed 15.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $700
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$615.68
-1.12%
Closed 13.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-03-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $700
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $650–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$604.06
-3.73%
Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $700
Range 16.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$627.45
+2.24%
Closed 11.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-03-12
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $665
Range 10.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $665 by end of day
What Happened
$613.71
-3.83%
Closed 8.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.8%
2026-03-11
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $660
Ceiling $665
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $660–$665 for 5 days
What Happened
$615.68
-5.98%
Broke down — max move 6.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $700
Range 7.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $650 by end of day
What Happened
$654.86
+0.12%
Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $675
Ceiling $700
Range 3.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $675–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$627.45
-3.08%
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $675
Ceiling $700
Range 3.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $675–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$613.71
-4.83%
2026-03-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $675
Ceiling $695
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $675–$695 for 5 days
What Happened
$638.18
-3.39%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $695
Ceiling $700
Range 0.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $695–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$654.86
-1.93%
Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-03
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $660
Ceiling $700
Range 6.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $660–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$654.07
-0.15%
2026-03-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $660
Ceiling $700
Range 6.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $660–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$647.39
-0.94%
Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $635
Ceiling $700
Range 10.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$653.56
+0.83%
Closed 7.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-02-26
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $680
Range 4.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $650 by end of day
What Happened
$648.18
-1.34%
2026-02-25
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $590
Ceiling $692
Range 15.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $692 by end of day
What Happened
$657.01
+0.51%
Closed 5.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%
2026-02-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $650
Ceiling $680
Range 4.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $650–$680 for 5 days
What Happened
$655.08
+2.47%
Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $680
Ceiling $690
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $680–$690 for 5 days
What Happened
$653.56
+2.56%
Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $680
Ceiling $690
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $680–$690 for 5 days
What Happened
$648.18
-1.14%
Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)