MSFT Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

MSFT Microsoft $441.31 -1.31% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — MSFT

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Microsoft

In Between Walls?

$470

2ND

$500

DOM

$441.31

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

0.97× Normal (0.7–1×)

Current OI 255,340

30d Avg OI 264,297

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio

0.41

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$500

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-58.69

-13.30%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+1.000

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — MSFT

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $500 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $470 – $500 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$500 Resistance	25,719	3	25,722	0.00	100%
#3	$480 Resistance	17,928	107	18,035	0.01	70%
#5	$475 Resistance	12,965	28	12,993	0.00	51%
#2	$470 Resistance	18,516	128	18,644	0.01	72%
▶ $441.31
#4	$435 Support	13,006	2,577	15,583	0.20	61%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Normal (0.7–1×)

Low (<0.7×)

81.1%

148 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

78.7%

123 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

69.4%

36 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

84.6%

52 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

91.4%

58 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	148	81.1%	74.8%	56.6%	42.3%	35.0%
Normal (0.7–1×)	123	78.7%	64.8%	52.1%	37.8%	26.1%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	36	69.4%	61.1%	55.6%	38.9%	47.2%
High (1.5–2×)	52	84.6%	75.0%	63.5%	50.0%	31.9%
Very High (>2×)	58	91.4%	87.9%	75.9%	67.2%	53.4%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — MSFT

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$441.31

+6.08%

Broke down — max move 8.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$460.52

+10.02%

Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $430

Ceiling $440

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $430–$440 for 5 days

What Happened

$450.24

+7.43%

2026-05-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $440

Ceiling $450

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $440–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$426.99

+1.41%

2026-05-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $430

Ceiling $440

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $430–$440 for 5 days

What Happened

$412.67

-1.14%

2026-05-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $440

Ceiling $470

Range 7.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $440–$470 for 5 days

What Happened

$416.03

-1.77%

2026-05-15

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $470

Range 11.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$423.54

+0.38%

Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-05-14

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$421.92

+3.05%

Closed 5.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%

2026-05-13

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$409.43

+1.04%

Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-05-12

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$405.21

-0.63%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-05-11

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$407.77

-1.18%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-05-08

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$412.66

-0.59%

Closed 3.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-05-07

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $430

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day

What Happened

$415.12

-1.34%

Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-05-06

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $430

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day

What Happened

$420.77

+1.65%

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $430

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $420–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$407.77

-0.88%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $430

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $420–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$412.66

-0.23%

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $430

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $420–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$415.12

+0.16%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $445

Ceiling $460

Range 3.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $445–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$420.77

+3.19%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $490

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$413.96

-2.47%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $490

Range 7.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$411.38

-4.16%

Broke down — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $490

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$413.62

-2.64%

Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $490

Range 7.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$414.44

-2.40%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $425

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$425 for 5 days

What Happened

$407.78

-1.92%

Broke up — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $425

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$425 for 5 days

What Happened

$424.46

-1.95%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $430 by end of day

What Happened

$432.92

+2.07%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.1%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 4.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$424.82

+1.61%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$424.62

+0.43%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $400

Range 7.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$415.75

-1.07%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $400

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$432.92

+5.28%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $400

Range 7.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$411.22

+4.61%

Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.6%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $400

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$418.07

+8.77%

Broke up — max move 9.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $400

Range 8.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$384.37

+3.64%

Closed 4.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.6%

2026-04-09

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $380 by end of day

What Happened

$370.87

-0.59%

Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $380 by end of day

What Happened

$373.07

-0.34%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$380 for 5 days

What Happened

$393.11

+5.59%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $380 by end of day

What Happened

$372.29

-0.16%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $375

Ceiling $385

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $375 by end of day

What Happened

$372.88

-0.16%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $390

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$390 for 5 days

What Happened

$373.07

+1.00%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $390

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$390 for 5 days

What Happened

$374.33

+1.12%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $390

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$390 for 5 days

What Happened

$372.29

+3.71%

Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $390

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$390 for 5 days

What Happened

$372.88

+4.52%

Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $390

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$390 for 5 days

What Happened

$373.46

+2.05%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $400

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$369.37

-0.45%

Broke down — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $400

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$370.17

-0.69%

Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $400

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$358.96

-6.28%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $400

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$356.77

-6.57%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$381.87

-1.84%

Closed 4.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$389.02

-0.71%

Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$391.79

-1.91%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 12.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$399.41

-0.14%