MSTR Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

MSTR MicroStrategy $136.08 -4.70% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — MSTR

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for MicroStrategy

In Between Walls?

$155

2ND

$158

DOM

$136.08

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

0.75× Normal (0.7–1×)

Current OI 196,492

30d Avg OI 261,074

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio

0.81

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$158

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-21.42

-15.74%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.946

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — MSTR

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $158 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $155 – $158 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#4	$162 Resistance	19,576	671	20,247	0.03	57%
#3	$160 Resistance	18,573	2,859	21,432	0.15	60%
#1	$158 Resistance	34,850	964	35,814	0.03	100%
#2	$155 Resistance	17,817	3,758	21,575	0.21	60%
#5	$152 Resistance	9,424	961	10,385	0.10	29%
▶ $136.08

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Normal (0.7–1×)

Low (<0.7×)

76.5%

68 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

74.5%

107 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

64.5%

186 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

75.0%

36 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

63.2%

19 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	68	76.5%	72.1%	64.7%	52.9%	40.3%
Normal (0.7–1×)	107	74.5%	72.6%	53.4%	40.4%	20.0%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	186	64.5%	55.1%	51.9%	42.4%	38.5%
High (1.5–2×)	36	75.0%	44.4%	36.1%	41.7%	38.9%
Very High (>2×)	19	63.2%	52.6%	42.1%	15.8%	0.0%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — MSTR

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $178

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$178 for 5 days

What Happened

$136.08

-14.91%

Broke down — max move 5.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $178

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$178 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.78

-6.32%

Broke up — max move 5.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$159.09

-3.49%

Broke down — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.64

-8.55%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.20

-6.34%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 6.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$159.93

-4.02%

2026-05-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$159.89

-9.88%

Broke down — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$164.85

-11.83%

Broke down — max move 11.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$165.81

-6.86%

Broke up — max move 6.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$164.63

-10.73%

Broke down — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$166.63

-14.96%

Broke down — max move 9.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$177.42

-5.42%

Broke up — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-07

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $188

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$187.59

+4.31%

Closed 4.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.3%

2026-05-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $188

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$188 for 5 days

What Happened

$178.03

-4.71%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $188

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$188 for 5 days

What Happened

$184.42

-1.33%

Broke down — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $188

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$188 for 5 days

What Happened

$195.94

+6.61%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $170

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $168–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$187.59

+5.88%

Broke up — max move 5.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $185

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$179.84

+8.70%

Broke up — max move 13.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $185

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$186.82

+18.10%

Broke up — max move 16.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $185

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$186.90

+12.79%

Broke down — max move 6.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $185

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$183.80

+8.63%

Broke down — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $200

Range 8.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$169.20

-1.06%

Closed 9.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $185

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$165.45

-4.07%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $175

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $168–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$158.19

-11.80%

Broke down — max move 5.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $175

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $168–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$165.71

+1.06%

Broke up — max move 9.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $149

Ceiling $158

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $149–$158 for 5 days

What Happened

$169.20

-0.94%

Broke down — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $158

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$158 for 5 days

What Happened

$171.02

+2.70%

Broke up — max move 7.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $142

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$142 for 5 days

What Happened

$172.47

+15.80%

Broke up — max move 14.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $142

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$142 for 5 days

What Happened

$179.36

+24.95%

Broke up — max move 19.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $142

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$143.54

+4.46%

Closed 6.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.5%

2026-04-13

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $142

Range 5.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$137.41

+3.82%

Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.8%

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $142

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$142 for 5 days

What Happened

$166.52

+29.45%

Broke up — max move 11.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $136

Range 8.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$128.64

-0.17%

Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $136

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$128.86

+0.44%

Closed 3.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $136

Range 8.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$128.30

+3.70%

Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.7%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $136

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$123.72

-3.11%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.1%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $137

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$137 for 5 days

What Happened

$128.64

+7.35%

Broke up — max move 7.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $137

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$137 for 5 days

What Happened

$128.86

+4.95%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $138

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$138 for 5 days

What Happened

$128.30

+2.80%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $138

Range 6.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$138 for 5 days

What Happened

$123.72

+1.88%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $138

Ceiling $145

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $138–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$127.69

+1.32%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $147

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $142–$147 for 5 days

What Happened

$119.83

-9.85%

Broke down — max move 8.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $149

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $142–$149 for 5 days

What Happened

$122.78

-11.75%

Broke down — max move 12.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $149

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $142–$149 for 5 days

What Happened

$124.80

-8.40%

Broke up — max move 7.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $149

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $142–$149 for 5 days

What Happened

$121.44

-12.13%

Broke down — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $150

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $142–$150 for 5 days

What Happened

$126.03

-7.10%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $160

Range 14.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$135.66

-1.87%

Closed 17.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $160

Range 14.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$138.24

-1.65%

Closed 15.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$136.25

-9.34%

Broke down — max move 9.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $160

Range 13.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$150.28

+1.87%

Closed 6.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.9%