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Today's OI Read — PYPL

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for PayPal

In Between Walls?
NO
$46
DOM
$46
2ND
$44.53

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
0.78× Normal (0.7–1×)
Current OI 58,629
30d Avg OI 75,105

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio
0.56
CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall
$46
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-0.97
-2.18%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+0.189
BALANCED

Balanced call/put OI at the dominant wall — no dominant dealer incentive in either direction.

Today's Top Setup — PYPL

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $46 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $46 – $46 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#5 $47 Resistance 4,409 182 4,591 0.04
66%
#4 $46 Resistance 4,956 85 5,041 0.02
73%
#2 $46 Resistance 5,046 293 5,339 0.06
77%
#1 $46 Resistance 4,124 2,812 6,936 0.68
100%
#3 $45 Resistance 3,296 1,939 5,235 0.59
75%
▶ $44.53

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — PYPL

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $46
Range 2.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.53
+0.84%
2026-05-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $46
Range 2.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.19
+2.17%
2026-05-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $48
Range 3.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.75
+1.02%
2026-05-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $47
Range 2.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.46
+0.19%
2026-05-19
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $47
Range 2.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.76
-0.16%
2026-05-18
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $48
Range 4.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.16
-0.51%
2026-05-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $47
Ceiling $48
Range 1.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $47–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.23
-0.41%
2026-05-14
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.41
-1.40%
Closed 12.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%
2026-05-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.04
-0.42%
Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-05-12
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.23
-0.46%
Closed 10.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%
2026-05-11
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.44
+0.82%
Closed 10.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-05-08
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.07
-0.66%
Closed 10.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%
2026-05-07
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $51
Range 10.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $46 by end of day
What Happened
$45.37
-1.84%
Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%
2026-05-06
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $50
Range 8.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $46 by end of day
What Happened
$46.22
-0.11%
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $53
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.44
-2.26%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $53
Range 4.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.07
-10.56%
Broke down — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $60
Range 19.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$50.39
-0.10%
Closed 19.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$46.22
-7.82%
Broke up — max move 7.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$50.14
-1.57%
Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$46.49
-6.35%
Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.39
+1.25%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-24
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $51
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$49.77
-1.41%
Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.14
+0.78%
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.94
-0.55%
Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.22
+0.67%
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength 65%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$50.88
-1.13%
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.46
+1.28%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-04-16
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 10.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$50.81
+2.01%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%
2026-04-15
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 10.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.81
+0.48%
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 10.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.57
+3.34%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.3%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 10.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$47.97
+0.97%
Closed 4.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$47.51
+5.02%
Closed 5.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.0%
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $47
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.81
+8.33%
Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 2.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.57
+8.11%
Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.85
+2.18%
Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 3.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.87
-1.34%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $47
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.24
-0.22%
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $47
Range 4.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.98
+3.02%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $47
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.85
+1.37%
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $47
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.23
+1.25%
Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $42
Ceiling $50
Range 18.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.67
+2.48%
Closed 12.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.5%
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$43.59
-3.56%
Closed 14.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.6%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $48
Range 5.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.20
+0.78%
2026-03-24
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.85
+1.45%
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $48
Range 5.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.21
-2.81%
Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.8%
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $48
Range 3.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.59
-0.95%
Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.01
-0.41%
Closed 13.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.19
-0.90%
Closed 13.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.9%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 10.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.59
-3.34%
Closed 11.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.3%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.13
+1.56%
Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%