TSLA Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

TSLA Tesla $423.74 +1.35% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — TSLA

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Tesla

In Between Walls?

$440

DOM

$450

2ND

$423.74

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

0.98× Normal (0.7–1×)

Current OI 434,433

30d Avg OI 441,182

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio

0.54

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$440

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-16.26

-3.84%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.582

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — TSLA

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $440 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $440 – $450 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#2	$450 Resistance	21,372	2,442	23,814	0.11	87%
#1	$440 Resistance	21,731	5,749	27,480	0.26	100%
#3	$430 Resistance	17,755	5,327	23,082	0.30	84%
#5	$425 Resistance	10,538	6,617	17,155	0.63	62%
▶ $423.74
#4	$420 Support	11,221	8,399	19,620	0.75	71%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Normal (0.7–1×)

Low (<0.7×)

77.3%

75 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

74.6%

131 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

75.9%

158 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

82.5%

40 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

76.9%

13 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	75	77.3%	64.9%	57.5%	43.8%	36.1%
Normal (0.7–1×)	131	74.6%	64.6%	49.2%	35.2%	41.9%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	158	75.9%	71.5%	57.6%	45.5%	44.7%
High (1.5–2×)	40	82.5%	72.5%	67.5%	62.5%	42.1%
Very High (>2×)	13	76.9%	69.2%	46.2%	15.4%	30.8%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — TSLA

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $435

Ceiling $450

Range 3.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $435–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$423.74

-2.27%

2026-05-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $440

Ceiling $450

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $440–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$415.88

-2.38%

Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $440

Ceiling $450

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $440–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$435.79

+4.29%

Broke up — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $445

Ceiling $450

Range 1.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $445–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$442.10

+5.95%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $430

Ceiling $450

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $430–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$440.36

+8.97%

Broke up — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $435

Ceiling $450

Range 3.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $435–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$433.59

+5.76%

2026-05-15

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $500

Range 11.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $500 by end of day

What Happened

$409.99

-2.90%

Closed 21.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.9%

2026-05-14

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 11.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day

What Happened

$422.24

-4.75%

Closed 6.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.8%

2026-05-13

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $450

Range 6.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day

What Happened

$443.30

-0.44%

Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-05-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $450

Range 6.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $420–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$404.11

-6.77%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-11

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $450

Range 11.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day

What Happened

$433.45

-2.60%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.6%

2026-05-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$422.24

-1.43%

Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$443.30

+7.65%

Broke up — max move 8.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $410

Ceiling $420

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $410–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$445.27

+11.67%

Broke up — max move 11.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $395

Ceiling $400

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $395–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$433.45

+11.32%

Broke up — max move 10.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$445.00

+13.37%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$428.35

+9.60%

Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$411.79

+7.90%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$398.73

+6.96%

Broke up — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$389.37

+3.55%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$392.51

+3.65%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$390.82

+3.86%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$381.63

+2.12%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$420 for 5 days

What Happened

$372.80

-3.80%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$376.02

-2.69%

Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$378.67

-3.52%

Broke down — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $420

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$392.50

-2.03%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%

2026-04-16

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $400

Range 12.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$400.62

+3.01%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$387.51

-1.13%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$386.42

+6.10%

Broke up — max move 10.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $400

Range 14.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$364.20

+3.34%

Closed 10.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.3%

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $400

Range 14.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$352.42

+0.99%

Closed 13.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$388.90

+12.52%

Broke up — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$391.95

+14.19%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 2.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$364.20

+5.06%

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$352.42

-0.11%

Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$380 for 5 days

What Happened

$348.95

-3.23%

Broke down — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $380 by end of day

What Happened

$360.59

-5.42%

Closed 5.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -5.4%

2026-03-31

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$381.26

+2.56%

Closed 3.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.6%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$346.65

-2.43%

Broke up — max move 7.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$352.82

-2.49%

Broke down — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$360.59

-3.10%

Broke down — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$381.26

-1.22%

Broke down — max move 7.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$371.75

-2.94%

Broke up — max move 5.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$355.28

-6.71%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $390

Ceiling $400

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $390–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$361.83

-1.67%

Broke up — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$372.11

-2.15%

Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$385.95

-1.74%

Broke down — max move 6.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$383.03

-4.07%

Broke down — max move 7.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $410

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days

What Happened

$380.85

-3.72%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)