XLK
$198.21
+0.90%
(updated 2026-06-02)
Today's OI Read — XLK
Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Tech Select ETF
In Between Walls?
NO
$180
DOM
$195
2ND
$198.21
Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.
Magnet Strength
0.39×
Low (<0.7×)
Current OI
7,249
30d Avg OI
18,803
Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.
Put/Call Ratio
1.34
PUT HEAVY
Above 1.2 — more put OI than calls. Hedging demand elevated; market participants are positioned defensively.
Dominant Wall
$180
▼ Below spot
The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.
Distance to #1 Wall
$+18.21
+9.19%
Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.
Wall Skew
-0.691
PUT HEAVY
Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.
Today's Top Setup — XLK
SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.
PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.
Strength scores are locked
PROSee exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much
🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength
██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength
██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $180 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength
██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $180 – $195 through +5d.
Top OI Walls
Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price
| Rank | Strike | Call OI | Put OI | Total OI | P/C | % of Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
▶ $198.21
| ||||||
| #2 | $195 Support | 954 | 26 | 980 | 0.03 |
|
| #3 | $190 Support | 433 | 173 | 606 | 0.40 |
|
| #1 | $180 Support | 168 | 920 | 1,088 | 5.48 |
|
| #5 | $163 Support | 2 | 473 | 475 | 236.50 |
|
| #4 | $160 Support | 0 | 564 | 564 | — |
|
SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — XLK
Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.
0 days
·
Min Strength
60
Magnet:
2026-05-26
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$177
Ceiling
$179
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $177–$179 for 5 days
What Happened
$198.21
+7.06%
Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-22
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$177
Ceiling
$179
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $177–$179 for 5 days
What Happened
$195.76
+8.52%
Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-21
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$162
Range 6.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$162 for 5 days
What Happened
$191.02
+6.95%
Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-20
↔ CAGE
Strength
40%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$162
Range 6.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$162 for 5 days
What Happened
$186.85
+5.48%
Broke up — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-19
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$162
Ceiling
$177
Range 8.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $162 by end of day
What Happened
$177.14
+2.25%
Closed 8.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.3%
2026-05-18
↔ CAGE
Strength
40%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$162
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$162 for 5 days
What Happened
$185.14
+6.18%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-15
↔ CAGE
Strength
40%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$162
Range 6.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$162 for 5 days
What Happened
$180.39
+2.34%
2026-05-14
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$160
Ceiling
$170
Range 5.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$178.60
-0.50%
Broke down — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-13
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$160
Ceiling
$170
Range 5.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$177.14
+0.16%
2026-05-12
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$160
Ceiling
$170
Range 5.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$173.24
-1.12%
Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-11
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$160
Ceiling
$180
Range 11.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day
What Happened
$175.20
-1.51%
Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%
2026-05-08
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$160
Ceiling
$180
Range 11.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day
What Happened
$177.88
+1.34%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-05-07
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$156
Ceiling
$161
Range 2.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $156–$161 for 5 days
What Happened
$179.50
+5.78%
Broke up — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-06
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$156
Ceiling
$161
Range 2.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $156–$161 for 5 days
What Happened
$176.85
+4.01%
Broke down — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$156
Ceiling
$161
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $156–$161 for 5 days
What Happened
$175.20
+5.78%
Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$156
Ceiling
$161
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $161 by end of day
What Happened
$165.63
+2.21%
Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$141
Ceiling
$161
Range 12.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $161 by end of day
What Happened
$162.05
+0.11%
Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength
60%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$158
Range 5.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $158 by end of day
What Happened
$161.87
+1.49%
Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength
70%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$160
Range 6.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day
What Happened
$159.50
+0.25%
2026-04-28
📌 PIN
Strength
60%
Magnet
Floor
$155
Ceiling
$160
Range 3.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day
What Happened
$159.11
+0.80%
Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$155
Range 3.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days
What Happened
$162.05
+0.92%
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength
40%
Magnet
Floor
$150
Ceiling
$160
Range 6.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days
What Happened
$161.87
+1.03%
2026-04-23
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$136
Ceiling
$151
Range 9.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $136 by end of day
What Happened
$160.22
+2.81%
Closed 15.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.8%
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$140
Ceiling
$151
Range 7.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $140–$151 for 5 days
What Happened
$159.11
+0.65%
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength
10%
Magnet
Floor
$136
Ceiling
$151
Range 9.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $136 by end of day
What Happened
$158.09
+2.20%
Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$128
Ceiling
$136
Range 5.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $128–$136 for 5 days
What Happened
$160.57
+3.89%
Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$136
Ceiling
$151
Range 9.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $136 by end of day
What Happened
$154.56
+0.14%
Closed 12.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$145
Range 6.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$145 for 5 days
What Happened
$155.84
+2.51%
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$145
Range 6.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$145 for 5 days
What Happened
$158.09
+5.18%
Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$126
Ceiling
$145
Range 12.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $126 by end of day
What Happened
$150.30
+1.60%
Closed 16.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength
20%
Magnet
Floor
$126
Ceiling
$145
Range 13.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $126 by end of day
What Happened
$147.94
+1.60%
Closed 15.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$126
Ceiling
$145
Range 13.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $126 by end of day
What Happened
$145.61
+2.10%
Closed 13.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.1%
2026-04-09
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$120
Ceiling
$139
Range 13.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $120 by end of day
What Happened
$142.62
+0.39%
Closed 15.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-04-08
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$120
Ceiling
$139
Range 13.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $120 by end of day
What Happened
$142.07
+0.27%
Closed 15.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%
2026-04-07
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$120
Ceiling
$139
Range 13.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $139 by end of day
What Happened
$141.69
+3.10%
Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$120
Ceiling
$139
Range 13.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $120 by end of day
What Happened
$137.43
+0.48%
Closed 12.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$129
Ceiling
$131
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $129–$131 for 5 days
What Happened
$142.62
+4.88%
Broke up — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$129
Ceiling
$131
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $129–$131 for 5 days
What Happened
$142.07
+5.31%
2026-03-31
📌 PIN
Strength
40%
Magnet
Floor
$131
Ceiling
$146
Range 11.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $131 by end of day
What Happened
$134.91
+1.51%
Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$131
Ceiling
$146
Range 11.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $131 by end of day
What Happened
$132.90
+4.24%
Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.2%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$131
Ceiling
$146
Range 11.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $131 by end of day
What Happened
$127.50
-1.86%
Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$139
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day
What Happened
$129.92
-1.95%
Closed 3.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength
45%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$139
Range 2.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $139 by end of day
What Happened
$132.50
-3.11%
Closed 4.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.1%
2026-03-24
📌 PIN
Strength
70%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$139
Range 2.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day
What Happened
$136.76
+0.45%
Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$136
Range 0.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $136 by end of day
What Happened
$136.15
-0.58%
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$139
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day
What Happened
$136.95
+1.23%
Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%
2026-03-19
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$140
Range 3.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days
What Happened
$132.50
-4.28%
Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-18
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$140
Range 3.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days
What Happened
$136.76
-0.87%
2026-03-17
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$140
Range 3.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days
What Happened
$136.15
-2.43%
Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-16
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$135
Ceiling
$140
Range 3.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days
What Happened
$136.95
-1.32%